Overview of the development of various links in the global PV industry chain

Abstract In 2013, the global polysilicon industry continued to increase in size, with a production capacity of 387,000 tons and a production volume of approximately 246,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%. The increase was mainly concentrated in solar grade polysilicon. The output of electronic grade polysilicon is about 26,000 tons, and the demand is 25,000 tons...
In 2013, the global polysilicon industry continued to increase in size, with a production capacity of 387,000 tons and a production volume of approximately 246,000 tons, an increase of 5.1% year-on-year. The increase was mainly concentrated in solar grade polysilicon. The output of electronic grade polysilicon is about 26,000 tons, and the demand is about 25,000 tons. The production is still mainly concentrated in a few polysilicon enterprises such as the United States, Germany and Japan. Polysilicon production has formed a situation in four countries. In 2013, China ranked first in the world with an output of 84,000 tons, the United States ranked second with 59,000 tons, and the next in Germany, South Korea and Japan produced 46,000 tons, 41,000 tons and 13,000 tons respectively. The global polysilicon industry has become more concentrated. The world's top 10 polysilicon enterprises have a total production capacity of nearly 278,000 tons, and the output has reached 215,000 tons, accounting for 87.7% of the global total.

In 2013, the global wafer industry continued to expand, and the global wafer production capacity exceeded 57GW. Among them, mainland China is about 40GW, and China Taiwan is about 4.5GW. In addition, Europe is about 4 GW. The global annual production is about 39GW, an increase of 8.3%. Among them, mainland China is about 29.5GW, and Taiwan, China is about 4GW. In addition, South Korea is about 1.6 GW and Europe is about 1.2 GW. From the perspective of the development region, global wafer production is gradually concentrated in the Asian region. The silicon wafer production capacity in Asia reaches 52GW, accounting for 91% of the global total. The output is about 37.7GW, accounting for 97% of the world. From the perspective of production enterprises, the top 10 wafer companies with the largest production scale in the world have a capacity of 26 GW, and the output has reached 23.1 GW, accounting for 60% of the global total capacity. The industrial concentration continues to rise.

In 2013, the global production scale of solar cells continued to grow, with a capacity of more than 63 GW (excluding thin film batteries) and a production capacity of 40.3 GW. Compared with 2012, the growth rate is 7.5%, and the ratio of polycrystalline silicon battery to monocrystalline silicon battery is about 3:1. Solar cells are growing year by year, but in recent years, development has tended to be flat. In terms of development regions, mainland China ranks first in the world with 25.1 GW of production, accounting for about 63% of global production. The output of crystalline silicon cells in Taiwan and other regions increased by 55% year-on-year to 8.5GW, ranking second in the world. From the perspective of production enterprises, the global 10 companies have a capacity of 20 GW, accounting for 33.3% of the global total capacity, and the output is about 16.3 GW, accounting for 40.7% of the global total output, up 2 percentage points year-on-year.

The production scale of solar modules continues to grow rapidly. In 2013, the global production capacity reached more than 65GW, and the output reached 41.4GW, an increase of 11.3%. From a regional perspective, China is still the largest producer of solar modules, with a production of 27.4 GW, mainly crystalline silicon cells; Europe is the second with 3.8 GW; Japan is the third with a production of about 3.5 GW. In terms of industrial concentration, the output of the 10 component companies with the largest global component output was 16.3GW, accounting for 41.6% of the total output, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year. The output of the top 10 enterprises exceeded 1.1GW. Among the top 10 companies, China has 6 seats and the United States has 2 seats. In terms of global shipments, the top 10 companies shipped 18.1 GW, which is about 1.9 GW higher than the output. The largest shipment was China Yingli, which reached 3.23 GW, followed by Changzhou Tianhe, with shipments reaching 2.5 GW. . Among the top 10 companies, China has 6 seats, Japan has 2 seats, and the United States and South Korea each have 1 seat.

In 2013, the global production of thin film batteries was about 3,660 MW, an increase of 3.7% year-on-year, accounting for 9% of the total global PV module production, and continued to decline slightly. From the perspective of enterprises, global thin film battery production is mainly concentrated in First Solar represented by CdTe battery, Solar Frontier represented by CIGS battery, and Hanergy Holding Co., represented by silicon-based film. In 2013, the output of the three companies accounted for 69.2% of the global production of thin film batteries. From the product type, the silicon-based thin film battery is 500MW, the CIGS is about 1500MW, and the CdTe is about 1660MW. In terms of regional distribution, China's thin film battery production was about 260MW, down 35% year-on-year, and Japan's thin film battery shipments were 1011.7MW, up 172.7% year-on-year.

Due to overcapacity in the global PV industry in 2012, sales revenue of the photovoltaic equipment industry continued to decline to US$1.75 billion, a decrease of 51.4% year-on-year, and new orders were also recorded at a record low of US$1 billion. As the global PV market resumes growth, the automation and filling of PV production lines and the expansion of production capacity by some companies will drive a strong rebound in equipment supplier revenue. Solarbuzz's latest research report shows that solar PV manufacturers' equipment spending will begin to enter a new rising phase in 2015. By 2017, PV equipment spending may even reach $10 billion.

In 2013, the global PV application market developed rapidly. The annual installed capacity reached 38.4GW, a year-on-year increase of 20.0%, and the growth rate rebounded sharply from 2012. With the explosive growth of the PV market in China and Japan, the global PV installation market in 2013 accelerated its focus on Asia. In 2013, China's new PV installed capacity reached 12.9GW, becoming the world's largest PV application market; Japan's new PV installed capacity reached 6.8GW, an increase of 300% year-on-year; the United States also maintained rapid growth, ranking the world third. In contrast, the installed capacity of new PV in Europe has dropped significantly, with a total annual growth rate of 10.5 GW, a drop of more than 40%. The proportion of new installed capacity in Europe has also dropped to 28%, accounting for the first time in nearly five years. Less than 50%.

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